Korogwe #HapaKaziTu: Biashara huku, Kampeni pale...


Lowassa alipofika Masasi ndipo alikutana na hawa


Mgombea Urais wa Tanzania wa UKAWA kupitia Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA), Mh. Edward Lowassa, akiwasili kwenye Uwanja wa Boma, Mjini Masasi Mkoani Mtwara, kulikifanyika Mkutano wake wa Kampeni za kuomba ridhaa ya wananchi kugombea nafasi, uliofanyika leo Septemba 22, 2015.

Wabeza matokeo ya utafiti wa Twaweza


[video] Magufuli 'push-ups' Misenyi, Kagera



Watch Tanzania's CCM Presidential candidate, Hon. John Pombe Joseph Magufuli "wow!" the audience by showing off his physical fitness with a 1-2-3-push-ups on stage at a campaign rally in Misenyi, Kagera.


Mgombea urais wa Tanzania kupitia CCM, Dk John Magufuli akionesha umahiri wa afya yake kwa kufanya mazoezi ya Push Up wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni mjini Karagwe, mkoani Kagera leo.






Dk Magufuli akihutubia na kujinadi kwa wananchi wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni mjini Nkwenda, wilayani Kyerwa, mkoani Kagera.


Wananchi wakishangilia baada ya kufurahishwa na hotuba za Dk Magufuli na ahadi alizokuwa anazitoa.




Dk Magufuli akimnadi mgombea ubunge Jimbo la Kyerwa, Swisbert Ntambuka wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni jimboni humo leo.


Wananchi wakisikiliza kwa makini wakati Dk Magufuli akijinadi katika Mji wa Nkwenda Jimbo la Kyerwa




Dk Magufuli akijinadi katika moja ya mikutano midogo midogo jimboni Kyerwa, Kagera


Dk Magufuli akijinadi katika mkutano wa kampeni uliofanyika kwenye viwanja vya Posta ya Zamani mjini Ngara leo




Mgombea ubunge Jimbo la Nkenge, Balozi Diodorus Kamara akijinadi kwa wananchi wilayani Missenyi, Kagera.


Dk Magufuli akisisitiza jambo alipokuwa akijinadi wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni wilayani Kyerwa, Kagera


Mrembo akionesha tabasamu baada ya kufurahishwa na hotuba ya Dk Magufuli katika wilayani Misenyi, Jimbo la Nkenge.


Wananchi wakishangilia wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni wilayani Karagwe leo


Picha ya Dk Magufuli ikiwa imewekwa kwenye moja ya matairi ya Lori mjini Karagwe


Ni furaha iliyoje kwa wananchi hawa baada ya kurahishwa na hotuba ya Dk Magufuli kwamba akishinda urais Elimu itakuwa ya bure kuanzia darasa la kwanza hadi sekondari.


Dk Magufuli akimnadi mgombea ubunge Jimbo la Karagwe kupitia CCM, Innocent Bilakatwe wakati wa mkutano wa kampeni mjini Karagwe leo


Mke wa mgombea ubunge Jimbo la Karagwe, Jennifer akitumia simu kupiga picha wakati mumewe akinadiwa na Dk Magufuli mjini Karagwe leo.

Video nzima ya uzinduzi wa ripoti ya Twaweza


Political opinion polls - What politicians should or shouldn't worry about

What should politicians worry and shouldn't worry about political opinion polls?


At best, political opinion polls are a scientific guess based on a survey of the views of a randomly selected sample of voters. The results of such a survey are then used to estimate how voters would have voted if the election were held on the day of the poll. Thus, the results of a poll are based on probability, rather than certainty. 

The accuracy of a political poll depends on several factors. Firstly, the poll must be conducted based on a random sample. This is important because what really matters in opinion polls is how the sample was selected rather than how big was the sample. 

Secondly, the timing of the poll is critical. Opinions are a form of attitudes, which change rapidly from time to time. Thus, many opinion poll researchers caution the results of opinion polls conducted, for example, six weeks before the day of the actual vote. This is also because research shows that many voters do not make up their minds about how they will vote, especially in a tight race until shortly before the election. Thus, early polls are prone to volatility and unpredictability. 

Thirdly, a single poll is not predictive enough and should not be relied upon with great certainty. Research shows that opinion polls become reliably predictive when they are conducted over a period of time and by different organisations. Thus, an average of opinion polls is more reliable than the results of a single poll. 

For example, in the run up towards British election in May 2015, two organisations conducted opinion polls around the same time and produced surprisingly different results. On 27 March 2015, few months before the British election, YouGov released the results of its opinion poll showing that Labour were leading by 36 percent, followed by Conservatives at 32 percent and UKIP at 13 percent. The next day, another poll company, ComRes, released the results of its opinion poll showing the opposite picture: Conservatives were ahead at 36 percent, followed by Labour at 32 percent, UKIP at 12 percent and Liberal Democrats at 9 percent. This is why many opinion poll researchers believe that trends in opinion polls are the best measure of accuracy rather than a single poll. 

Fourthly, it is important to emphasize the fact that opinion polls cannot predict the future with certainty. They only give an approximate view of what voters thought on the day the opinion poll was conducted. The campaign messages and styles of candidates have strong influence in changing voters’ minds, which is why opinion polls should be conducted regularly throughout the campaign period for them to become reliably predictive. 

Nevertheless, politicians should still worry of any opinion poll that does not favour them. This is because of two main reasons. First, opinion polls remain the most reliable method of assessing and predicting public opinion. For example, in most of the times, political opinion poll results have been consistent with final election results, especially if they are conducted over a period of time to establish a trend. 

Second, opinion polls have consequential effects on the psychology of voters. The psychology of voters’ behaviour suggests that voters like to back a winner and they do not like backing a loser or an underdog in an election. Thus, they are likely to change their mind in favour of a candidate that leads in a poll. Indeed, opinion poll research shows that undecided voters tend to jump on to the bandwagon effect of the opinion poll. 

Therefore, politicians should treat opinion polls cautiously rather than dismissively or conclusively. They should take opinion polls as a yardstick for what holds ahead of them. Thus, the Twaweza poll that has just been released should stir the opposition to work harder, and especially to reach out to the rural, uneducated, female and old voters who seem to be leaning towards the ruling party candidates. 

Opinion poll researchers such as Twaweza should always, as they have always done, present their results cautiously, and consistently warn politicians that these are not the election results. Rather, they are mere opinions that scientifically estimate the views of voters up to the day they were conducted, which may have changed today or could change tomorrow! 

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Kitila Mkumbo is Associate Professor in Psychology and Learning at the University of Dar es Salaam, currently on sabbatical leave at Twaweza working as Senior Consultant on What Works in Education Programme.





Netherlands Fellowship Programmes for Short courses, Master and PhD studies

The Netherlands Fellowship Programmes (NFP) promote capacity building within organisations in 51 countries by providing fellowships for training and education for professionals. The NFP is initiated and fully funded by the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs from the budget for development cooperation.

The NFP has three sub programmes for individual fellowships:
  • Short courses
  • Master’s degree programmes
  • PhD studies
In addition, there are seperate funds for tailor-made training courses and alumni activities.

Aim of the NFP

The NFP aims to help increase both the number and the competencies of skilled staff at a wide range of government and non-government organisations.
Each embassy has its own focus area to support the development goals of the Netherlands in each NFP country. The overall objective is to spend 35% of the budget on grants and study programmes in food security and private sector development.
The fellowships are further prioritised as follows:
  • 50% of the budget is for applications from Sub Saharan Africa.
  • 50% of fellowships has to be awarded to female applicants.

The fellowship

An NFP fellowship is intended to supplement the salary that the fellow should continue to receive during the study period. The allowance is a contribution towards the costs of living, the costs of tuition fees, visas, travel, insurance and thesis research. If applicable, the fellowship holder is expected to cover the difference between the actual costs and the amount of the personal NFP allowances.
The fellowships are awarded in a very competitive selection to highly motivated professionals who are in a position to introduce the newly-acquired skills and knowledge into their employing organisation.

For whom?

The NFP is meant for professionals who are nationals of and work and live in one of the 51 NFP countries. The countries have been classified into two categories (I and II). Category I countries are priority countries and will receive more fellowships.
Candidates have to be nominated by their employer to be eligible for the fellowship. There also has to be a clear need for training within the context of the organisation.

Criteria

You must meet a number of criteria that support the aim of the NFP to be eligible for a fellowship.
To be eligible you:
  • must be a national of, and working and living in one of the countries on the NFP country list;
  • must have an employer’s statement that complies with the format EP-Nuffic has provided. All information must be provided and all commitments that are included in the format must be endorsed in the statement;
  • must not be employed by an organisation that has its own means of staff-development. Organisations that are considered to have their own means for staff development are for example:
    • multinational corporations (e.g. Shell, Unilever, Microsoft),
    • large national and/or a large commercial organisations,
    • bilateral donor organisations (e.g. USAID, DFID, Danida, Sida, Dutch ministry of Foreign affairs, FinAid, AusAid, ADC, SwissAid),
    • multilateral donor organisations, (e.g. a UN organization, the World Bank, the IMF, Asian Development Bank, African Development Bank, IADB),
    • international NGO’s (e.g. Oxfam, Plan, Care);
  • must have an official and valid passport;
  • must not receive more than one fellowship for courses that take place at the same time;
  • must have a government statement that meets the requirements of the country in which the employer is established (if applicable).

How to apply

You need to apply directly with a Dutch higher education institution of your choice, starting 3 February 2015.
  1. Check whether you are in the above mentioned target groups.
  2. Check whether your employer will nominate you.
  3. Find a course with our Studyfinder tool.
  4. Contact the Dutch higher education institution which offers the NFP-qualified course of your choice for application procedures.
  5. The Dutch higher education institution will let you know whether your application is accepted or not.
For your information: if you can’t find the course you want to take in Studyfinder, don’t worry. You can apply for the course of your choice at the Dutch higher education institution. They will decide whether your selected course is eligible for the Netherlands Fellowship Programmes.

Matokeo ya utafiti wa Twaweza: Wananchi wapo zaidi CCM


CCM ndio chama kinachopendwa zaidi na wananchi
Takwimu zinaonyesha kwamba wananchi hawaelewi nafasi rasmi ya Ukawa


22 Septemba, Dar es Salaam: Asilimia 62 ya wananchi wanasema kwamba wanajisikia wapo karibu zaidi na Chama cha Mapinduzi (CCM) kuliko vyama vingine. Aidha, walipoulizwa watawachagua wagombea wa chama gani – bila kutajiwa majina ya wagombea – wananchi 6 kati ya 10 walisema kwamba watawachagua wagombea wa CCM kwa Urais (66%), Ubunge (60%) na Udiwani (60%). Takwimu hizi zinatoa picha kwamba CCM inaungwa mkono, kama ilivyokuwa mwaka 2012.


Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA) ni chama cha pili kinachopendwa kushinda vyama vingine vya upinzani. Lakini wananchi wanaosema kwamba watawachagua wagombea wa Chadema kwa Urais, Ubunge na Udiwani wamepungua kidogo. Ikumbukwe kuwa, inawezekana wananchi wanaopenda zaidi mseto wa Umoja wa Katiba ya Wananchi (UKAWA) waliunga mkono vyama vya CUF, NCCR-Mageuzi au NLD.

Mbali ya CCM na vyama vinavyounda UKAWA, chama cha ACT-Wazalendo kilitajwa na zaidi ya asilimia moja ya wananchi.

Walipoombwa kutaja moja kwa moja jina la mgombea Urais ambaye wangemchagua, asilimia 65 ya wananchi walimtaja mgombea wa CCM, John Magufuli. Asilimia 25 walimtaja mgombea wa CHADEMA (na UKAWA), Edward Lowassa. Asilimia 10 iliyosalia iligawanyika kati ya wale waliomtaja mmoja miongoni mwa wagombea urais wengine, waliokataa kujibu na waliokuwa bado hawana mgombea waliyempendelea. Hata hivyo, takwimu zilikusanywa kabla vyama vingine, kikiwemo ACT-Wazalendo, kuteua wagombea wao wa Urais. Takwimu hizi (zilizokusanywa kati ya Agosti na Septemba) sio utabiri wa matokeo ya uchaguzi. Zinaonyesha tu kwamba mwanzoni mwa kipindi cha kampeni, mgombea Urais wa CCM, John Magufuli, alikuwa anaongoza katika kura za maoni.

Aidha, vigezo muhimu vinavyohusu makundi mbalimbali ya watu (demografia) vilitumika kuchambua ni nani au makundi gani yanayowaunga mkono John Magufuli na Edward Lowassa. Wahojiwa ambao walikuwa vijana zaidi, wasomi zaidi, wanaume na wakazi wa mijini, walimuunga mkono Edward Lowassa. Makundi ya wahojiwa wazee zaidi, waliokuwa na elimu ya msingi tu, wanawake na wakazi wa vijijini walielekea kumuunga mkono zaidi John Magufuli kuliko vijana zaidi, wasomi zaidi, wanaume au wanaoishi mijini.

Hata hivyo, katika makundi yote haya, John Magufuli wa CCM anaonekana kuongoza. Kwa mfano, asilimia 33 ya wananchi wenye umri wa 18 – 29 na asilimia 30 ya wenye umri wa 30 – 39 wanamuunga mkono Lowassa, tofauti na asilimia 15 ya watu wenye umri zaidi ya miaka 50. Pamoja na hayo, asilimia 57 ya watu wenye umri wa 18 – 29 na asilimia 76 ya watu wenye umri wa 30 – 39 wanamuunga mkono Magufuli. Upande wa makazi, asilimia 28 ya wakazi wa mijini walimuunga mkono Edward Lowassa tofauti na asilimia 24 ya wakazi wa vijijini. Asilimia 66 ya wakazi wa vijijini na asilimia 61 ya wakazi wa mijini wanamuunga mkono John Magufuli.

Asilimia 26 ya wanaomuunga mkono John Magufuli walidai kwamba ni kwasababu yeye ni mchapakazi, na asilimia 12 ya wanaomuunga mkono Edward Lowassa walisisitiza kwamba anaweza kuleta mabadiliko yanayohitajika nchini. Izingatiwe kwamba kauli hizi zinafanana karibu neno kwa neno na kauli mbiu za kampeni za wagombea hawa wawili.

Hata hivyo, wananchi hawana taarifa sahihi juu ya nafasi rasmi ya UKAWA kama mseto. Asilimia 49 ya wananchi wanafikiri kwamba UKAWA ni chama cha siasa kilichosajiliwa, kinyume na hali halisi. Asilimia 57 wanafikiri kwamba neno ‘UKAWA’ litakuwepo kwenye karatasi zao za kupigia kura. Hii pia, sio kweli. Bila kampeni na juhudi za kuwaelimisha wapiga kura ili wawe na taarifa sahihi kuhusu jambo hili, hali hii inaweza kuleta wasiwasi siku ya uchaguzi. 

Matokeo haya yalitolewa na Twaweza katika muhutasari wa utafiti mwenye jina la Sema mwananchi, sema | Maoni ya wananchi kuhusu uongozi wa kisiasa. Muhtasari huu umetumia takwimu kutoka Sauti za Wananchi, utafiti wa kwanza barani Afrika unaotumia simu za mkononi na wenye uwakilishi wa taifa zima. Matokeo yanatokana na Awamu ya 1 ya kuwapigia simu wahojiwa wapya 1,848 iliyoendeshwa kati ya Agosti na Septemba 2015. Wahojiwa waliteuliwa kwa kutumia njia kama zinavyotumika na asasi za utafiti duniani kote. Unasibu (sampling) huu ulifanyika katika mikoa yote ya Tanzania Bara. Takwimu hizi zimelinganishwa na zile za awamu za utafiti katika miaka ya nyuma, zikiwemo:
  • Utafiti wa awali wa kwanza wa Sauti za Wananchi 2012
  • Sauti za Wananchi Awamu ya 10 ya Octoba 2013
  • Sauti za Wananchi Awamu ya 24 ya Septemba 2014
  • Awamu za utafiti za Sauti za Wananchi Aprili-Julai 2015
  • Utafiti mpya wa awali ulioendeshwa kati ya Julai na Agosti 2015

Twaweza ilibaini kuwa zoezi jipya la kuwaandikisha wapiga kura lilifanikiwa kwa kiasi kikubwa. Asilimia 98 ya wahojiwa waliripoti kwamba wameshajiandikisha chini ya mfumo mpya wa Biometric Voter Registration (BVR). Hata hivyo, wananchi wengi walikumbwa na changamoto nyingi katika mchakato huo. Asilimia 68 ya wananchi walitaja urefu wa foleni za kujiandikisha kama tatizo kuu. Asilimia 51 walisema walisubiri au walishuhudia wananchi wengine wakisubiri muda wa zaidi ya masaa sita kabla ya kujiandikisha. Aidha asilimia 37 waliona au wao wenyewe walipa matatizo ya kusukumana kwenye foleni. Mashine za BVR kushindwa kufanya kazi ipasavyo kuliripotiwa na asilimia 26 ya wananchi. Upendeleo kwenye vituo vya kujiandikisha uliripotiwa na asilimia 19. Ukosefu wa uzoefu wa BVR ulilalamikiwa na asilimia 16 ya wananchi.

Pamoja na kujiandikisha kupiga kura, asilimia 99 ya wananchi walisema kwamba wanadhamiria kupiga kura katika uchaguzi wa mwaka huu. Hata hivyo, izingatiwe kwamba asilimia 79 ya wahojiwa hawa walidai pia kwamba walipiga kura wakati wa uchaguzi wa 2010 wakati hali halisi inaonesha kuwa waliopiga kura walikuwa asilimia 43 tu. Aidha, ni asilimia 57 tu ya wananchi ndio walioweza kutaja tarehe sahihi ya uchaguzi, yani Oktoba 25. Takwimu hizi zinaonyesha kwamba mara nyingi kuna tofauti kati ya majibu ya watu wakati wa kura za maoni au tafiti mbalimbali, na vitendo vyao halisi.

Asilimia 64 ya wananchi walisema kwamba wanakumbuka vyema ahadi zilizotolewa na Wabunge wao katika uchaguzi uliopita, na asilimia 86 kati ya hao walisema kwamba mbunge wao hakutekeleza ahadi hizo au alizitekeleza chache.

Aidha, wananchi waliorodhesha changamoto kuu walizoona hapa nchini. Kama ilivyokuwa katika miaka ya nyuma, huduma za afya ni changamoto kwa asilimia 59 ya Wananchi, ukosefu wa maji ikitajwa na asilimia 46, elimu duni na asilimia 44, na umaskini, asilimia 39. Hata hivyo, kumekuwa na mabadiliko kadhaa. Watu wachache zaidi walitaja umaskini (wamepungua kutoka asilimia 63 mwaka 2014) na watu wengi zaidi walitaja maji (wameongezeka kutoka asilimia 27 mwaka 2014).

“Kuna mambo kadhaa ya kuzingatia hapa,” alisema Aidan Eyakuze, Mkurugenzi Mtendaji wa Twaweza. “Wananchi wanabadilisha mawazo kuhusu vipaumbele vyao. Waliweka kipaumbele kwa afya badala ya umasikini katika kipindi kifupi cha miezi 12.”

“Watu wana hamu kubwa sana ya kupiga kura” aliongeza, “lakini hali hii si kigezo cha kuaminika katika kutabiri wangapi kweli watapiga kura siku ya uchaguzi. Wakijitokeza kwa wingi, itaipa uhalali mkubwa serikali ya awamu ijayo. Wakijitokeza wachache, inaweza kuashiria ama hali ya wananchi kukata tamaa, au hali ya kujiamini kwamba tayari wameshinda, au hali zote mbili kwa pamoja.”

“Kwa pamoja, mambo haya mawili yanatoa picha kwamba huenda wapiga kura wakawa hawana uhakika wamchague nani. Yanaimarisha ujumbe kwamba mashindano haya ndio kwanza yameanza kupamba moto. Wagombea hawana budi kuimarisha mahusiano yao na wapiga kura wakiwa na malengo mawili makuu; Lengo la kwanza ni kunadi ubora wa ilani na sera zao. Lengo la pili ni kuhakikisha kwamba watajitokeza kwa wingi kuwapigia kura siku ya uchaguzi, Oktoba 25.”







---- Mwisho ----
www.twaweza.org/sauti

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CCM is still the most popular party in the country
Data show that citizens do not understand the official status of UKAWA

22 September, Dar es Salaam: More than 6 out of 10 citizens (62%) report that they feel closest to CCM out of all political parties. Further, when asked which party’s candidates – without reference to specific names - they will vote for in the election, more than 6 out of 10 citizens say that they will vote for the CCM candidates for President (66%), Parliament (60%) and Councillor (60%). These data suggest a return to a level of support for CCM last seen in 2012.

CHADEMA continues to be the second most popular party by a significant margin when compared to other opposition parties. There has been a slight decline in citizens reporting that they will select the CHADEMA candidates for President, MP and Councillor.

Apart from CCM and the parties which are members of 
Umoja wa Katiba ya Wananchi (UKAWA), only ACT-Wazalendo was mentioned by 1% or more of the population in any of these categories.

When asked directly to name the Presidential candidate they would vote for, 65% of citizens chose the CCM candidate, John Magufuli and 25% mentioned the CHADEMA (and UKAWA) candidate, Edward Lowassa. The remaining 10% of respondents chose from among the six other presidential candidates, refused to answer or were undecided. However data collection occurred before some parties, including ACT-Wazalendo, had named their presidential candidate. It is important to note that these data (collected in August and September) are not predictions of the election result. What they show is that at the start of the campaign period, the CCM presidential candidate, John Magufuli, had a lead in terms of public opinion.

Support for John Magufuli and Edward Lowassa was analysed along certain key demographic criteria. Respondents who are younger, better educated, male or lived in urban areas were slightly more likely to express support for Edward Lowassa than older, less educated, female or rural respondents. Whereas respondents who are older, less educated, female or lived in rural areas were slightly more likely to express support for John Magufuli than younger, better educated, male or urban respondents.

However in all of these categories, CCM’s John Magufuli was in front. For example 33% of 18 – 29 year olds and 30% of 30 – 39 year olds express support for Lowassa, as compared to 15% of people aged 50 and over. Nonetheless 57% of 18 – 29 year olds and 76% of 30 – 39 year olds reported that they would vote for Magufuli. In terms of geography, 28% of citizens in urban areas expressed support for Edward Lowassa compared to 24% of those in rural areas. Whereas 66% of rural voters said they would vote for John Magufuli compared to 61% of urban voters.

When asked about why they might make a specific choice between these two men, 26% of John Magufuli’ supporters claimed he is hard working. On the other hand 12% of supporters of Edward Lowassa claimed that he can bring the change that Tanzania needs and this was why they would vote for
him. It should be noted that these phrases coincide almost exactly with the campaign slogans of the two candidates.

In general, citizens are not well informed about the official status of UKAWAa as a coalition. Almost half (49%) of citizens think that UKAWA is a registered political party which it is not. Even more (57%) think that the name ‘UKAWA’ will appear on their ballot papers. This may add an element of uncertainty around voters’ reactions on election day, unless the campaigns and voter education work to correct these misperceptions.
The brief is based on data from Sauti za Wananchi, Africa’s first nationally representative high-frequency mobile phone survey. The findings are based on the first call round conducted in late August and early September 2015, with 1,848 respondents. Respondents were selected using recognised methods of probability sampling as used by research institutions all over the world. The sample covers all regions of mainland Tanzania. These data are compared with those from survey rounds in previous years, including:
  • The first Sauti za Wananchi baseline survey from late 2012
  • Sauti za Wananchi Round 10 from October 2013
  • Sauti za Wananchi Round 24 from September 2014
  • Sauti za Wananchi survey rounds in April to July 2015
  • A new baseline survey conducted in July and August 2015
Twaweza also found that the new voter registration exercise was largely successful. Almost all respondents (98%) reported that they had been registered using the new Biometric Voter Registration (BVR) system. However a majority of citizens reported a few problems with the process. The most significant problem was the long lines to register – reported by 68% of citizens. Similarly 51% reported that they saw or experienced a six hour registration process. People also had or saw problems with pushing while in queues (37%), BVR machines that failed to work (26%), favouritism at the registration station (19%) or a lack of experience on the part of the BVR operators (16%).

In addition to having registered to vote, almost all citizens (99%) say that they intend to vote in the upcoming election. However it is worth noting that 79% of these respondents also claimed that they voted in the 2010 elections whereas actual turnout was at 43%. In addition only 57% could name the correct date for the election. These data show that there is often a difference between what people report or respond to in polls and surveys and what they actually do.
Citizens also reported being aware of promises made by their MPs in the last elections, 64% claimed they could remember these promises. In total, close to 9 out of 10 citizens (86%) reported that their MP had kept few or none of these promises.

Citizens also listed what they thought were the main challenges facing the country. As in previous years health (59%), water (46%), education (44%), and poverty (39%) consistently being cited by most people. However there have been some changes with fewer people naming poverty (down from 63% in 2014) and more people citing water (up from 27% in 2014).

“There are a number of interesting things here,”
 said Aidan Eyakuze, Executive Director of Twaweza. “Citizens change their minds about their priorities. They swapped health for poverty in a fairly short period of 12 months.”

“The desire to vote is very strong,” 
he added, “but it is far from being a reliable predictor of actual turnout on voting day. A strong turnout would provide a strong mandate to a new administration. A low turnout may indicate a loss of hope by a section of voters, or a premature conclusion by other voters that they have already won.”

“In combination these two insights hint at an electorate that is rather less certain than the numbers might imply. It reinforces the message that the race is not yet over. Parties would do well to deepen their engagement with voters with two objectives in mind. The first is to convince them of the quality and credibility of their policies and manifestos. The second is to get them out to vote on October 25.”

 
 










---- Ends ----

Jaji Warioba amnadi mwanaye Kippi

Waziri Mkuu mstaafu Jaji Joseph Sinde Warioba (katikati), akimnadi Mgombea Ubunge Jimbo la Kawe kwa tiketi ya Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), Kippi Warioba, katika mkutano wa kampeni za uchaguzi mkuu, uliofanyika katika Kata ya Makongo Manispaa ya Kinondoni jijini Dar es Salaam Jumapili Sept. 20.15. Kushoto ni Mgombea Udiwani wa Kata hiyo, Charles William Iteba. 

MGOMBEA ubunge wa jimbo la Kawe kwa tiketi ya Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), Kippi Warioba, amesema anafahamu changamoto zinazowakabili wamachinga, mamalishe, baba lishe na wajaririamali wadogo; na kuomba wamchague ili azishughulikie.

Transport, accommodation, allowance to a Journalist/Blogger for a tech event: AfricaCom 2015


apo-african-press-organization-small.png

PRESS RELEASE

WIN an Invitation to the 2015 edition of AfricaCom – the biggest and best tech event in Africa

APO will award one African journalist/blogger with transport, accommodation and a daily allowance to attend the AfricaCom

DAKAR, Senegal, September 22, 2015/ -- APO will award one African journalist/blogger with transport, accommodation and a daily allowance to attend the 2015 edition of AfricaCom – the biggest and best tech event in Africa, to be held in Cape Town, South Africa, on 17-19 November 2015.

Each year APO offers journalists the opportunity to attend major African events such as the African Development Bank Annual Meeting and AfricaCOM as a part of its commitment to supporting journalism in Africa.

The two previous recipients of the AfricaCOM invitation are science journalist Aimable Twahirwa from Rwanda and journalist John Churu from Botswana.

APO also sponsors the APO Energy Media Award and the APO Media Award where a journalist wins $500 a month for one year, one laptop and one intercontinental flight ticket to a destination of his or her choice as well as one year of access to over 600 airport VIP lounges.


The deadline for entry is midnight GMT on 7 October 2015.
                                                                                                                         
The winner will be announced on 12 October 2015.

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